Stock Trading Tips, Analysis & News

Today Satyam board made announcement of new CEO. AS Murty will be new CEO of Satyam. Murty was global business head of Satyam. Board also announces Board also announces Homi Khusrokhan and Partho Datta as special advisors. Satyam got a loan of 600 Cr as working capital from banks.

In between it is believed that Satyam has paid employees salary for january month from a cash balance available at company, this makes clear that company had cash balance. I suspect from day 1 since Raju’c confession that Satyam already had a cash balance & Raju diverted it to his infrastructure company Maytas over last 3-4 years. Company was never running in loss, it is profit making company. If company were making losses how Raju able to pay salary of 53000 employees over so many years? According to some sources Satyam requires 200 Cr per month to pay salary of employees. This couldnot be possible for loss making company to bear that much manpower. So it is clear that Raju siphned money.

I don’t know when investigation result will be out, why it is taking too long time to unreveal true story. And now SEBI is investigating Raju behind bars. It already have investigated Raju last 2 days, still they have 2 more days left to investigate him. Meanwhile market has taken it negatively and Satyam share cracked down from 61 to 46 in last 3 trading sessions. Poor investors again got stuck, some of them have bought shares above 100/-, they are suffering all this loss unnecessarily. I think SEBI might announce open offer auction in this counter as early as possible so that investors wont suffer anymore loss further.

Today reality sector hit badly as there are news that DLF has inflated balancesheet. DLF lost 13% today , its all time low now around 132.50 but it is not recommended to invest in DLF untill picture will clear. DLF & Unitech both posted big loss in this quarter, DLF’s profit 65% down while Unitech’s profit 95% downm both companies are facing lot trouble nowadays.

Other reality stocks which hit badly today includes HDIL, IBR. HDIL’s last trade price is 79/-, its attractive level to invest, one can start buying from here. While IBR is 93 by end of day and its all time low is 83. IBR was my favorite share in past due to high volatility, it can gain 25% a day.

Satyam got 15 new contracts in January monthm most of then are insurance and phrmacutical companies. Two of them are from JP Morgan chase and 95% of old top clients are still with Satyam. I think if Satyam continue getting such contracts per month its value can be 150+ within next 5-6 months. Meanwhile SEBI has got permission from AP Highcourt to question Raju, Market discounted this news which in result led to 6.27% fall in Satym’s price and it closed at 53.75 by end of day.

There is lot of confusion regarding open offer price of Satyam as SEBI said yesterday in Press Conference that price before 7th January is not valid and even price after 7th Jan is not valid as well. So according to many experts Satyam’s open offer price will be closely related to its current market price. It may slight above/below current market price.

There are many companies in race for acquiring Satyam which includes  L & T, iGate global, Hinduja Global, Spice Tele, Tech mahindra. So once open offer price declared bidding will happen which can trigger share price by 25% to 50% from open offer price. We can hope for best.